Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.019137 0.020535 0.021986 0.023605 0.025363 0.027216 0.029318
2026-02-08 0.016572 0.018554 0.020714 0.023246 0.026142 0.029358 0.033210
2026-02-15 0.014961 0.017280 0.019897 0.023083 0.026870 0.031248 0.036717
2026-02-22 0.013711 0.016234 0.019165 0.022839 0.027349 0.032735 0.039705
2026-03-01 0.012747 0.015414 0.018588 0.022671 0.027821 0.034152 0.042600
2026-03-08 0.011941 0.014708 0.018072 0.022500 0.028223 0.035441 0.045343
2026-03-15 0.011351 0.014218 0.017774 0.022552 0.028869 0.037030 0.048521
2026-03-22 0.010771 0.013698 0.017393 0.022452 0.029282 0.038302 0.051310
2026-03-29 0.010278 0.013256 0.017078 0.022405 0.029738 0.039623 0.054212
2026-04-05 0.009809 0.012817 0.016736 0.022290 0.030074 0.040774 0.056911
2026-04-12 0.009438 0.012486 0.016516 0.022317 0.030593 0.042186 0.060041
2026-04-19 0.009147 0.012246 0.016402 0.022477 0.031292 0.043872 0.063652
2026-04-26 0.008723 0.011817 0.016024 0.022268 0.031483 0.044880 0.066390
2026-05-03 0.008279 0.011341 0.015560 0.021913 0.031444 0.045547 0.068652
2026-05-10 0.007931 0.010985 0.015247 0.021758 0.031683 0.046633 0.071624
2026-05-17 0.007589 0.010619 0.014900 0.021529 0.031790 0.047509 0.074296
2026-05-24 0.007292 0.010305 0.014613 0.021372 0.031990 0.048527 0.077248
2026-05-31 0.007015 0.010008 0.014336 0.021212 0.032171 0.049512 0.080192
2026-06-07 0.006812 0.009812 0.014200 0.021260 0.032678 0.051042 0.084151
2026-06-14 0.006585 0.009570 0.013983 0.021168 0.032947 0.052184 0.087495
2026-06-21 0.006385 0.009360 0.013803 0.021124 0.033288 0.053457 0.091142
2026-06-28 0.006180 0.009135 0.013591 0.021016 0.033512 0.054536 0.094496
2026-07-05 0.006019 0.008970 0.013466 0.021042 0.033959 0.056015 0.098677